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May
11

Canadian durum production increased by 12 pc for 2025-26

The Statistics Canada (STC) stated in its latest report that Canadian durum production for 2025-26, increased by 12 percent to 7.1 million tonne (mt) with an 11 percent improvement in yields. Total supply of durum is up 8 percent to 7.6 mt, constrained by low carry in stocks. Total domestic use is pegged at average a level, that is 0.8 mt, and carry-out stocks are now forecast at 1.35 mt.

According to the Canadian Grain Commission (CGC), exports of durum for this year to week 34 ending March 29 totaled 3.8 mt, 4 higher than the previous year and 24 percent above average. Exports to traditional markets like Morocco, Italy and the US are down this year but outweighed by increased shipments to Turkey, Algeria, Mexico, Venezuela, Nigeria, and China.

As projected by the STC, for 2026-27, area seeded to durum in Canada is likely to decrease 2 percent. Over 80 percent of Canadian durum will be seeded in Saskatchewan. Production is forecast to drop to 5.9 mt. Total supply is currently pegged at 7.5 mt, down just 4 percent year-on-year with larger stocks carried in from 2025-26. Total domestic use is assumed at long-term average levels and exports are forecast to drop to 5.35 mt with subdued demand from North Africa, Turkey, and Mexico, who are expecting larger harvest volumes this year. Closing stocks are forecast to drop to 1.25 mt.