Latest News

Mar
10

Canada’s corn production likely to decline

As per estimated by the Statistics Canada ( STC), Canadian corn production for 2025-26 is likely to be at 14.9 million tonne (mt), down 3 percent year-on-year, as higher seeded area was more than offset by the return to normal yields from the previous season’s record high. Compared to the previous 5-year average, production in 2025 is slightly higher.
In 2025 based on province report, the corn production in Ontario and Québec has decreased by 1 percent and 18 percent, respectively, from last year’s levels, in contrast to a 22 percent increase in Manitoba. Ontario accounts for almost 65 percent of the national production, followed by Québec (20 percent) and Manitoba (15 percent), with the remaining from other provinces.
Corn supply is projected at 18.4 mt, down notably year-on-year mainly due to lower carry-in stocks and production, despite expectations for higher imports. Total domestic use, including food and industrial use and animal feed use, is expected to remain steady year-on-year.
In 2025-26, the country’s corn exports are expected to decline significantly, and the carry-out stocks are projected at 1.6 mt, little changed year-on-year, but well below the 5-year average of 2.0 mt. In the first 2 months (September and October) of the crop year, corn imports are nearly 0.33 thousand tonne (Kt), up noticeably from those imported in the same period last year, primarily reflecting increased imports to eastern provinces compared to a reduction in the West.
Of the total imports, more than 99 percent were shipped from the US, and over 70 percent were shipped to western provinces. Exports in the same months remain less than 0.04 Kt, down sharply from those exported in the same period last year. Of the total exports, over 99% were shipped to the US, and over 80 percent were shipped out of Québec, as reported by the STC.